Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: VALENCIA (SPAIN), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 25 November 2022, Friday


	Carlos Lopez Montagud		Pablo Llamas Ruiz

	1	2
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.58	2.32
	1.68	2.16
	1.6	2.39
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.28	Watch
	1.6	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.75)	2.26 ↑ (1.94)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Lopez Montagud
58.3%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Lopez Montagud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlos Lopez Montagud's performance.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pablo Llamas Ruiz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Lopez Montagud than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlos Lopez Montagud that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pablo Llamas Ruiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Carlos Lopez Montagud - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Lopez Montagud will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lopez Montagud: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Lopez Montagud could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lopez Montagud won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Lopez Montagud
ATP Challenger
24.11.22	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Gian Marco Moroni	2:0 ✺
22.11.22	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.11.22	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
13.11.22	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Georgii Kravchenko	2:1 ✺
13.11.22	Bruno Pujol Navarro - Carlos Lopez Montagud	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWW
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
23.11.22	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Miljan Zekic	2:0 ✺
22.11.22	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
21.11.22	Eduard Esteve Lobato - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Esteve L. E. retired ✺
20.11.22	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Kenny De Schepper	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.10.22	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WW?WL

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition Liga MAPFRE de Tenis Men
22.07.20	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0

Carlos Lopez Montagud - Pablo Llamas Ruiz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide