Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday


	Geoffrey Blancaneaux		Carlos Lopez Montagud

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.54	2.52
	1.37	2.88	Watch
			Watch
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.42	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.84)	2.68 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Geoffrey Blancaneaux
65%

Carlos Lopez Montagud
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Geoffrey Blancaneaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Geoffrey Blancaneaux's performance.

Carlos Lopez Montagud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlos Lopez Montagud might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geoffrey Blancaneaux than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Geoffrey Blancaneaux that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Lopez Montagud than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlos Lopez Montagud could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Carlos Lopez Montagud Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Blancaneaux will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Lopez Montagud will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Blancaneaux is ranked ATP: 264. Lopez Montagud is ranked ATP: 551.

Recent performances by Blancaneaux have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lopez Montagud is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Blancaneaux may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Blancaneaux won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Geoffrey Blancaneaux - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.95%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Carlos Lopez Montagud - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.05%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Geoffrey Blancaneaux
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Andres Santamarta Roig	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Mark Lajal - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:1 ✺
10.11.25	Arthur Bouquier - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Gregoire Barrere - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLWW
- Carlos Lopez Montagud
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Tiago Pereira - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
24.11.25	Alexey Vatutin - Carlos Lopez Montagud	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Joao Graca - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Carlos Lopez Montagud	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.11.22	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2

Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Carlos Lopez Montagud: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide