Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sao Leopoldo - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sao Leopoldo 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Carlos Maria Zarate		Benjamin Torrealba

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Carlos Maria Zarate
61.3%

Benjamin Torrealba
38.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Maria Zarate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Benjamin Torrealba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Maria Zarate than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Torrealba than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Zarate is ranked ATP: 575. Torrealba is ranked ATP: 732.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Torrealba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zarate might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Maria Zarate
ATP Challenger
29.03.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Gabriel Roveri Sidney	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Frazier Rengifo - Carlos Maria Zarate	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Boris Arias	Arias B. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLWL?
- Benjamin Torrealba
ATP Challenger
29.03.26	Joao Victor Couto Loureiro - Benjamin Torrealba	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Johan Nikles - Benjamin Torrealba	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Benjamin Torrealba - Noah Schachter	Schachter N. retired ✺
22.03.26	Benjamin Torrealba - Patricio Alvarado	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Benjamin Torrealba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WL?WL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Maria Zarate
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Hugo Dellien
29.10.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Carlos Maria Zarate	✺

Carlos Maria Zarate - Benjamin Torrealba