Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday


	Carlos Sanchez Jover		Mathys Erhard

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.98	1.75	Watch
	2.01	1.71	Watch
	2	1.83
	1.96	1.81	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2	1.74	Watch
	2.01	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.17)	1.74 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Sanchez Jover
46.5%

Mathys Erhard
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Sanchez Jover has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Sanchez Jover than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlos Sanchez Jover that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mathys Erhard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carlos Sanchez Jover - Mathys Erhard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sanchez Jover is ranked ATP: 266. Erhard is ranked ATP: 268.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Erhard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Sanchez Jover
ATP Challenger
06.05.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Carlos Sanchez Jover	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.05.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Michele Ribecai - Carlos Sanchez Jover	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Johan Nikles - Carlos Sanchez Jover	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.04.25	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL
- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
05.05.25	Mathys Erhard - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
21.04.25	Mathys Erhard - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Emilio Nava - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Mitchell Krueger - Mathys Erhard	1:2 ✺
16.04.25	Mathys Erhard - Patrick Maloney	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLWW

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