Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tallahassee, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday


	Mitchell Krueger		Mathys Erhard

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.74	2.17
	1.73	2.07	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.68	2.11	Watch
	1.64	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.5)	2.18 ↓ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitchell Krueger
57%

Mathys Erhard
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitchell Krueger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mitchell Krueger's form might have worsened.

Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mathys Erhard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mitchell Krueger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mathys Erhard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Mitchell Krueger - Mathys Erhard Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Krueger will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Erhard will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mathys Erhard will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Krueger is ranked ATP: 141. Erhard is ranked ATP: 281.

Two players are playing changeable.

Krueger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Krueger will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Challenger
16.04.25	Mitchell Krueger - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:1 ✺
14.04.25	Mitchell Krueger - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Andres Andrade - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
01.04.25	Kei Nishikori - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWL
- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
16.04.25	Mathys Erhard - Patrick Maloney	2:1 ✺
15.04.25	Mathys Erhard - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
09.04.25	Mathys Erhard - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Murphy Cassone - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Mathys Erhard - Robin Bertrand	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWL

Mitchell Krueger - Mathys Erhard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide