Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Carboni		Carlos Sanchez Jover

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2.17	1.71
	2.22	1.58	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.11	1.68	Watch
	2.11	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.25)	1.65 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Carboni
43.3%

Carlos Sanchez Jover
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Carlos Sanchez Jover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Sanchez Jover than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Lorenzo Carboni - Carlos Sanchez Jover Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Carboni will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sanchez Jover will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sanchez Jover (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carboni is ranked ATP: 633. Sanchez Jover is ranked ATP: 260.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Carboni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sanchez Jover is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Carboni
ITF Tournaments
02.05.25	Paul Jubb - Lorenzo Carboni	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Carboni	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	Gian Marco Ortenzi - Lorenzo Carboni	1:2 ✺
28.04.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Alexander Weis	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.04.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Carboni	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWL
- Carlos Sanchez Jover
ITF Tournaments
01.05.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Michele Ribecai - Carlos Sanchez Jover	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Johan Nikles - Carlos Sanchez Jover	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.04.25	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.04.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWWLL

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