Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montemar, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday


	Carlos Sanchez Jover		Miguel Damas

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.52	2.3
	1.68	2.22
	1.70	2.05	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.86)	2.22 ↑ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Sanchez Jover
58.1%

Miguel Damas
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Sanchez Jover has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlos Sanchez Jover's performance.

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miguel Damas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Sanchez Jover than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlos Sanchez Jover that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miguel Damas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Carlos Sanchez Jover - Miguel Damas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sanchez Jover will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Damas will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sanchez Jover is ranked ATP: 368. Damas is ranked ATP: 334.

Sanchez Jover has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Damas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Damas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Sanchez Jover will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sanchez Jover won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Miguel Damas - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.59%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Sanchez Jover
ITF Tournaments
09.11.25	Pedro Rodenas - Carlos Sanchez Jover	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Martin Krumich - Carlos Sanchez Jover	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWW
- Miguel Damas
ITF Tournaments
08.11.25	Pedro Rodenas - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Miguel Damas - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Miguel Damas - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Miguel Damas - Toprak Avcibasi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Miguel Damas - Nikolai Barsukov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.06.23	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Miguel Damas	2:1
17.05.22	Miguel Damas - Carlos Sanchez Jover	0:2
ITF Tournaments
26.08.21	Miguel Damas - Carlos Sanchez Jover	1:2
20.02.20	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Miguel Damas	2:0
24.10.19	Miguel Damas - Carlos Sanchez Jover	1:2

Carlos Sanchez Jover - Miguel Damas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide