Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hamburg - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Miguel Damas		Nikolai Barsukov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.59	2.34
	1.51	2.33	Watch
	1.68	2.12	Watch
	1.61	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.61)	2.22 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Damas
58.2%

Nikolai Barsukov
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Damas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Nikolai Barsukov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikolai Barsukov than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Miguel Damas - Nikolai Barsukov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Damas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Barsukov will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barsukov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Damas is ranked ATP: 338. Barsukov is ranked ATP: 1210.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Damas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Jan Choinski - Miguel Damas	2:1 ✺
06.10.25	Jonas Forejtek - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Ignacio Parisca - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.10.25	Miguel Damas - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
02.10.25	Miguel Damas - Sergi Perez Contri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLW
- Nikolai Barsukov
ITF Tournaments
16.10.25	Alec Deckers - Nikolai Barsukov	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Nikolai Barsukov - Michael Agwi	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Nikolai Barsukov - Fons Van Sambeek	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Nikolai Barsukov - Luca Wiedenmann	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Nikolai Barsukov - Amir Omarkhanov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWLL

Miguel Damas - Nikolai Barsukov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide