Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasilia 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Carlos Sanchez Jover		Miguel Tobon

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.29	3.25	Watch
	1.32	3.57
	1.14	4.99	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.33	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.31)	3.55 ↑ (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Sanchez Jover
73.5%

Miguel Tobon
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Sanchez Jover has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Miguel Tobon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Sanchez Jover than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Carlos Sanchez Jover - Miguel Tobon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Sanchez Jover (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sanchez Jover (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sanchez Jover is ranked ATP: 351. Tobon is ranked ATP: 607.

In recent matches, Sanchez Jover has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tobon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tobon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sanchez Jover is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Carlos Sanchez Jover - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 71.03%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Sanchez Jover
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Ryan Dickerson	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Breno Braga	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Miguel Damas - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Juan Estevez - Carlos Sanchez Jover	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Lautaro Midon - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL
- Miguel Tobon
ITF Tournaments
01.03.26	Miguel Tobon - Jeffrey John Wolf	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	John Hallquist Lithen - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Miguel Tobon - Louis Wessels	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Miguel Tobon - Teodor Davidov	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Miguel Tobon - Jordan Lee	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWW

Carlos Sanchez Jover - Miguel Tobon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide