Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bari, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Carlos Taberner		Elmer Moller

	1	2
			Watch
	2.00	1.72
	1.81	1.96	Watch
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	2.01	1.78
	1.93	1.76	Watch
	1.93	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.72)	1.81 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Taberner
48.6%

Elmer Moller
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Taberner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlos Taberner's form might have worsened.

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elmer Moller's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Taberner than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Carlos Taberner - Elmer Moller Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Taberner will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Moller will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Taberner is ranked ATP: 425., and Moller is ranked ATP: 176..

In recent outings, Taberner has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Moller is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Taberner may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Taberner has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Carlos Taberner - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.73%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Taberner
ATP Challenger
26.09.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Calvin Hemery - Carlos Taberner	1:2 ✺
23.09.26	Max Wiskandt - Carlos Taberner	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Carlos Taberner - Petr Nesterov	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Gerard Campana Lee - Carlos Taberner	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWL
- Elmer Moller
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Elmer Moller - Iliyan Radulov	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Elmer Moller - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.09.26	Elmer Moller - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Elmer Moller	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Elmer Moller - Anton Matusevich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.08.26	Elmer Moller - Carlos Taberner	2:0

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