Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sassuolo, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 June 2025, Thursday


	Carlos Taberner		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.42	1.61
			Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.31	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.18)	1.57 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Taberner
40.3%

Luca Van Assche
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Taberner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Taberner than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Carlos Taberner - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Taberner (votes: 2 - 40%). Van Assche (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Van Assche (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Luca Van Assche will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Taberner (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Van Assche (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Taberner is ranked ATP: 130. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 186.

Taberner has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Van Assche is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Taberner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Van Assche will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Taberner
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Carlos Taberner - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Carlos Taberner - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.25	Valentin Vacherot - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Carlos Taberner - Yibing Wu	1:2 ✺
13.05.25	Carlos Taberner - Pedro Cachin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Luca Van Assche - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
18.06.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
13.06.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Luca Van Assche - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Luca Van Assche - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW

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