Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 June 2025, Friday


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.6	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.82	1.47
			Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.77	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.98)	1.43 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
34.6%

Luca Van Assche
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luca Van Assche will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 292. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 184.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Van Assche may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Van Assche might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Merida Aguilar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
11.06.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Henri Squire	2:1 ✺
09.06.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.06.25	Iliyan Radulov - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
04.06.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
31.05.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Iliyan Radulov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWL
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
11.06.25	Luca Van Assche - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Luca Van Assche - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
04.06.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Luca Van Assche - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.25	Henrique Rocha - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.10.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Luca Van Assche	0:2
Boys Singles French Open
10.06.21	Luca Van Assche - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Luca Van Assche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide