Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Luca Van Assche		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	2.1
	1.72	2.02	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.67	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.75)	2 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
53.4%

Rei Sakamoto
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+2%)

Luca Van Assche - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Van Assche is ranked ATP: 105. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 159.

Van Assche is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sakamoto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Van Assche won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Rei Sakamoto - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.85%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Luca Van Assche - Peter Bertran	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Luca Van Assche - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Alexander Blockx - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Moise Kouame - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Luca Van Assche - Clement Chidekh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Rei Sakamoto - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Vit Kopriva - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.02.26	Oliver Crawford - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Federico Cina - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Alastair Gray - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Luca Van Assche - Rei Sakamoto	2:0

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