Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Barranquilla - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday


	Carolina Alves		Antonia Vergara Rivera

	1	2
	1.40	2.75	Watch
	1.50	2.50
	1.40	2.75
	1.52	2.60
	1.42	2.7	Watch
	1.49	2.60
	1.41	2.77	Watch
	1.40	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.33)	2.67 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carolina Alves
64.9%

Antonia Vergara Rivera
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carolina Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carolina Alves's form might have worsened.

Antonia Vergara Rivera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Antonia Vergara Rivera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Alves than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antonia Vergara Rivera than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Carolina Alves - Antonia Vergara Rivera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alves is ranked WTA: 314. Vergara Rivera is ranked WTA: 369.

Alves is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vergara Rivera is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Vergara Rivera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alves is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alves won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carolina Alves
ITF Tournaments
28.08.26	Lan Mi - Carolina Alves	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca - Carolina Alves	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe - Carolina Alves	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Victoria Bosio - Carolina Alves	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Carolina Alves - Georgia Pedone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW
- Antonia Vergara Rivera
ITF Tournaments
26.08.26	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Lidia Encheva	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Samira De Stefano - Antonia Vergara Rivera	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Darya Astakhova	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Kristina Penickova - Antonia Vergara Rivera	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Mayu Crossley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.08.24	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Carolina Alves	0:2

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