Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Antalya - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Carolina Alves		Martina Colmegna

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.36
	1.48	2.50	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.54	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.51)	2.39 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carolina Alves
61.1%

Martina Colmegna
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carolina Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Martina Colmegna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Alves than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martina Colmegna than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Carolina Alves - Martina Colmegna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alves is ranked WTA: 230. Colmegna is ranked WTA: 413.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Colmegna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alves might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alves won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carolina Alves
ITF Tournaments
03.02.26	Louisa Chirico - Carolina Alves	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Carolina Alves - Sachia Vickery	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Carolina Alves - Carlota Martinez Cirez	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Dalila Spiteri - Carolina Alves	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Carolina Alves - Maria Fernanda Navarro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWW
- Martina Colmegna
ITF Tournaments
18.02.26	Rasheeda Mcadoo - Martina Colmegna	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Luisina Giovannini - Martina Colmegna	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Angella Okutoyi - Martina Colmegna	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Martina Colmegna - Luca Udvardy	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Zuzanna Pawlikowska - Martina Colmegna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.10.21	Carolina Alves - Martina Colmegna	2:0

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