Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Samsun - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Caroline Werner		Weronika Falkowska

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.83
	1.89	1.81	Watch
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	1.94	1.85
	1.87	1.81	Watch
	1.88	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.85)	1.82 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caroline Werner
49%

Weronika Falkowska
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caroline Werner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Weronika Falkowska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caroline Werner than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caroline Werner, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weronika Falkowska than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Weronika Falkowska, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Caroline Werner - Weronika Falkowska Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Werner is ranked WTA: 273., and Falkowska is ranked WTA: 300..

Recent results have been tough for Werner (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Falkowska has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Falkowska could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Caroline Werner - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caroline Werner
ATP Challenger
04.10.26	Caroline Werner - Zhibek Kulambayeva	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.09.26	Caroline Werner - Eva Vedder	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Valentina Steiner - Caroline Werner	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Caroline Werner - Malaika Rapolu	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.09.26	Caroline Werner - Hannah Klugman	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 ?LLLL
- Weronika Falkowska
ATP Challenger
04.10.26	Doga Turkmen - Weronika Falkowska	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Weronika Falkowska - Polina Iatcenko	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Weronika Falkowska - Ilay Yoruk	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	Weronika Falkowska - Alana Smith	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Weronika Falkowska - Laura Samsonova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL

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