Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Boca Raton, FL 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Carson Tanguilig		Gergana Topalova

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.33	1.62
	2.23	1.56	Watch
	2.2	1.57
	2.25	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.32)	1.58 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carson Tanguilig
41.2%

Gergana Topalova
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carson Tanguilig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Gergana Topalova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carson Tanguilig than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carson Tanguilig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gergana Topalova than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gergana Topalova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carson Tanguilig - Gergana Topalova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tanguilig is ranked WTA: 759. Topalova is ranked WTA: 405.

Tanguilig is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Topalova has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Topalova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Topalova could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carson Tanguilig
ITF Tournaments
23.04.26	Amelia Honer - Carson Tanguilig	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Paola Lopez - Carson Tanguilig	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Ellie Schoppe - Carson Tanguilig	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Carson Tanguilig - Margaux Maquet	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Bella Payne - Carson Tanguilig	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWW
- Gergana Topalova
ITF Tournaments
28.04.26	Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele - Gergana Topalova	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Gergana Topalova - Scarlett Fagan	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Gergana Topalova - Kailey Evans	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Gergana Topalova - Ellie Schoppe	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Gergana Topalova - Daria Egorova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLLW

Carson Tanguilig - Gergana Topalova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide