Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday


	Casper Ruud		Marcos Giron

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.55	2.58
	1.54	2.44	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.55	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.44)	2.46 ↓ (2.69)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casper Ruud
61.3%

Marcos Giron
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Casper Ruud - Marcos Giron Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ruud will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Giron will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ruud is ranked ATP: 5. Giron is ranked ATP: 48.

Recent matches Ruud is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Giron is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Giron could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ruud will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ruud won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casper Ruud
ATP Acapulco
26.02.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Casper Ruud	Pacheco Mendez R. walkover ✺
24.02.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
09.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Jaume Munar - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
07.02.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Casper Ruud	Nishioka Y. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 ?WLW?
- Marcos Giron
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Marcos Giron - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
27.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Marcos Giron - Tommy Paul	Giron M. walkover ✺
24.02.25	Marcos Giron - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dallas
04.02.25	Marcos Giron - Casper Ruud	Canceled
ATP Los Cabos
21.02.24	Marcos Giron - Casper Ruud	0:2
ATP Tokyo
18.10.23	Marcos Giron - Casper Ruud	2:0
ATP Paris
04.11.21	Casper Ruud - Marcos Giron	2:0

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