Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco (Mexico), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 February 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis


	Denis Shapovalov		Marcos Giron

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.7	Watch
	1.5	2.78
	1.46	2.71	Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.48	2.67	Watch
	1.44	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.54)	2.7 ↑ (2.51)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
64.8%

Marcos Giron
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.9%	0%	24.1%

Denis Shapovalov - Marcos Giron Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). Giron will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 60.3% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 32. Giron is ranked ATP: 52.

Shapovalov in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Giron is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Giron could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shapovalov will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Shapovalov to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shapovalov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Acapulco
26.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Cameron Norrie	Canceled ✺
ATP Dallas
09.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WW?WW
- Marcos Giron
ATP Acapulco
26.02.25	Marcos Giron - Tommy Paul	Giron M. walkover ✺
24.02.25	Marcos Giron - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Ethan Quinn - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
10.02.25	Marcos Giron - Gabriel Diallo	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 ?WLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Adelaide
07.01.25	Marcos Giron - Denis Shapovalov	2:0
ATP Houston
02.04.24	Marcos Giron - Denis Shapovalov	2:0

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