Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi 2 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe		Thanapet Chanta

	1	2
			Watch
	1.25	3.55	Watch
	1.19	4.23	Watch
	1.25	3.75
	1.25	3.57	Watch
	1.25	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.84)	3.75 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
75.2%

Thanapet Chanta
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cedrik-Marcel Stebe's performance.

Thanapet Chanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thanapet Chanta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cedrik-Marcel Stebe than the current prediction. (-33.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cedrik-Marcel Stebe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thanapet Chanta than the current prediction. (+33.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thanapet Chanta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cedrik Marcel Stebe - Thanapet Chanta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Stebe is ranked ATP: 346. Chanta is ranked ATP: 819.

Stebe is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chanta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stebe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Thanapet Chanta - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
ATP Challenger
08.01.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Borna Gojo - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Stefan Kozlov	Stebe C. retired ✺
14.11.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Alex Martinez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWW?W
- Thanapet Chanta
ATP Challenger
03.01.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Thanapet Chanta	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.12.25	Daniel Khazime - Thanapet Chanta	0:2 ✺
29.11.25	Arthur Weber - Thanapet Chanta	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Lorenzo Lorusso - Thanapet Chanta	0:2 ✺
27.11.25	Thanapet Chanta - Pawit Sornlaksup	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWW

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Thanapet Chanta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide