Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Limoges (France), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday


	Celine Naef		Sara Saito

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.35	3.1
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.34	3.31
	1.35	3.22	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.34	3.1	Watch
	1.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.59)	3.25 ↑ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celine Naef
71.1%

Sara Saito
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celine Naef has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celine Naef's performance.

Sara Saito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sara Saito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celine Naef than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celine Naef that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Saito than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sara Saito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	6.2%	25%

Celine Naef - Sara Saito Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Naef will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Saito will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Naef: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Naef is ranked WTA: 181. Saito is ranked WTA: 156.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Saito could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Naef is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celine Naef
ATP Challenger
10.12.24	Oceane Dodin - Celine Naef	0:2 ✺
10.12.24	Clara Burel - Celine Naef	Canceled ✺
03.12.24	Clara Burel - Celine Naef	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.11.24	Oceane Dodin - Celine Naef	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Lian Tran - Celine Naef	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 W?LWW
- Sara Saito
ATP Challenger
10.12.24	Petra Martic - Sara Saito	0:2 ✺
04.12.24	Barbora Palicova - Sara Saito	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.11.24	Sara Saito - Sijia Wei	0:2
21.11.24	Sara Saito - Honoka Kobayashi	2:0 ✺
18.11.24	Sara Saito - Xiaodi You	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWW

Celine Naef - Sara Saito: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide