Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LUGANO (SWITZERLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 March 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: LUGANO (SWITZERLAND) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Cem Ilkel		Otto Virtanen

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.9	1.22	Watch
	4	1.22
	4.05	1.25
	4.05	1.26
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	4.55	1.18	Watch
	3.7	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.03)	1.23 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cem Ilkel
23.7%

Otto Virtanen
76.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.9%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cem Ilkel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cem Ilkel's form might have worsened.

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Otto Virtanen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cem Ilkel than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cem Ilkel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Otto Virtanen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Cem Ilkel - Otto Virtanen Predictions

Users Predictions: Otto Virtanen will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Ilkel is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Virtanen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ilkel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Virtanen is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ilkel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cem Ilkel
ATP Challenger
05.03.24	Cem Ilkel - Johan Nikles	2:0 ✺
04.03.24	Illya Marchenko - Cem Ilkel	0:2 ✺
03.03.24	Kyle Edmund - Cem Ilkel	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Arthur Bouquier - Cem Ilkel	2:0 ✺
13.02.24	Gastao Elias - Cem Ilkel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLL
- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
05.03.24	Remy Bertola - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
01.03.24	Otto Virtanen - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
29.02.24	Alexander Blockx - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
28.02.24	Otto Virtanen - Oscar Otte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.03.23	Cem Ilkel - Otto Virtanen	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Stefano Travaglia - Otto Virtanen	✺

Cem Ilkel - Otto Virtanen