Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LUGANO (SWITZERLAND) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 4 March 2024, Monday


	Illya Marchenko		Cem Ilkel

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.8	Watch
	1.88	1.8
	1.92	1.85
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.79	Watch
	1.85	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.73)	1.81 ↓ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illya Marchenko
48.8%

Cem Ilkel
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illya Marchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Cem Ilkel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illya Marchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cem Ilkel than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cem Ilkel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.9%	0%	73.1%

Illya Marchenko - Cem Ilkel Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Marchenko will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Ilkel will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ilkel: 56.1% – 90.1%.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Marchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Marchenko won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
03.03.24	Illya Marchenko - Yannik Steinegger	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
10.02.24	Flavio Cobolli - Illya Marchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
05.02.24	Tennys Sandgren - Illya Marchenko	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Brandon Holt - Illya Marchenko	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.01.24	Francesco Passaro - Illya Marchenko	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLW?
- Cem Ilkel
ATP Challenger
03.03.24	Kyle Edmund - Cem Ilkel	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Arthur Bouquier - Cem Ilkel	2:0 ✺
13.02.24	Gastao Elias - Cem Ilkel	2:1 ✺
12.02.24	Cem Ilkel - Marat Sharipov	Sharipov M. retired ✺
12.02.24	Cem Ilkel - Vladyslav Orlov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLL?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.10.23	Cem Ilkel - Illya Marchenko	2:1
10.11.22	Illya Marchenko - Cem Ilkel	1:2
31.10.22	Cem Ilkel - Illya Marchenko	2:0

Illya Marchenko - Cem Ilkel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide