Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Matsuyama (Japan), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday


	Chak Lam Coleman Wong		Alex Bolt

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.52	2.59
	1.5	2.48
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.36	Watch
	1.53	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.79)	2.39 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chak Lam Coleman Wong
61%

Alex Bolt
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chak Lam Coleman Wong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chak Lam Coleman Wong's performance.

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Bolt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chak Lam Coleman Wong than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chak Lam Coleman Wong that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Bolt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Alex Bolt Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Bolt will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wong is ranked ATP: 159. Bolt is ranked ATP: 179.

Recent matches Wong is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bolt has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bolt could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Wong will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chak Lam Coleman Wong
ATP Challenger
03.11.24	Chun Hsin Tseng - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
31.10.24	Kasidit Samrej - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:1 ✺
29.10.24	Yan Bai - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	1:2 ✺
25.10.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
24.10.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Kuan-Yi Lee	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLW
- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
04.11.24	Matej Dodig - Alex Bolt	Dodig M. retired ✺
29.10.24	Alex Bolt - Ajeet Rai	0:2 ✺
21.10.24	Edward Winter - Alex Bolt	Canceled ✺
08.10.24	Alex Bolt - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
01.10.24	Alex Bolt - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 ?L?LL

Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Alex Bolt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide