Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Matsuyama (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 November 2024, Monday


	Matej Dodig		Alex Bolt

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.13	1.74
	2.09	1.69	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.14	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.26)	1.66 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
43.8%

Alex Bolt
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-1%)

Matej Dodig - Alex Bolt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 266. Bolt is ranked ATP: 178.

Recent matches Dodig is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bolt is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bolt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bolt will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
08.10.24	Dennis Novak - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
01.10.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
30.09.24	Matej Dodig - Gerard Campana Lee	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Matej Dodig - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
27.09.24	Matej Dodig - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWL
- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
29.10.24	Alex Bolt - Ajeet Rai	0:2 ✺
21.10.24	Edward Winter - Alex Bolt	Canceled ✺
08.10.24	Alex Bolt - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
01.10.24	Alex Bolt - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
30.09.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 L?LLW

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