Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Brisbane, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 July 2026, Monday


	Chase Ferguson		Yuki Mochizuki

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.83
	2.00	1.72
	1.93	1.89
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.90	1.87
	1.83	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2)	1.83 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chase Ferguson
49.2%

Yuki Mochizuki
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chase Ferguson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Yuki Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chase Ferguson than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chase Ferguson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuki Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yuki Mochizuki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Chase Ferguson - Yuki Mochizuki Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mochizuki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ferguson is ranked ATP: 655. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 707.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ferguson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Yuki Mochizuki - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.76%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chase Ferguson
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	M Rifqi Fitriadi - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Yuta Tomida - Chase Ferguson	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Noritaka Koizumi - Chase Ferguson	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	Chase Ferguson - Fanming Meng	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Chase Ferguson - Taiyo Yamanaka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLW
- Yuki Mochizuki
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Yuki Mochizuki - Omar Jasika	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Yuki Mochizuki - Ryota Tanuma	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Moerani Bouzige - Yuki Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Shintaro Imai - Yuki Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Takuya Kumasaka - Yuki Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLL

Chase Ferguson - Yuki Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide