Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 47, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday


	Chen Dong		Nicolas Tepmahc

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	2.67	1.40	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.9	1.78	Watch
	1.9	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.38)	1.72 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chen Dong
45.7%

Nicolas Tepmahc
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chen Dong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chen Dong's performance.

Nicolas Tepmahc has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Tepmahc might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chen Dong than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chen Dong that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Tepmahc than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Tepmahc could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Chen Dong - Nicolas Tepmahc Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Dong will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Dong (votes: 3 - 60%). Tepmahc (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dong is ranked ATP: 1025. Tepmahc is ranked ATP: 772.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Tepmahc may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tepmahc will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chen Dong
ITF Tournaments
25.12.25	Chen Dong - Kazuki Nishiwaki	2:0 ✺
24.12.25	Florent Bax - Chen Dong	Bax F. retired ✺
20.12.25	Chen Dong - Luca Wiedenmann	0:2 ✺
18.12.25	Lorenzo Lorusso - Chen Dong	0:2 ✺
16.12.25	Chen Dong - Vito DellElba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 W?LWW
- Nicolas Tepmahc
ITF Tournaments
25.12.25	Kerem Yilmaz - Nicolas Tepmahc	0:2 ✺
24.12.25	Mustapha El Natour - Nicolas Tepmahc	0:2 ✺
18.12.25	Patrick Schoen - Nicolas Tepmahc	2:0 ✺
17.12.25	Samuele Seghetti - Nicolas Tepmahc	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Zura Tkemaladze - Nicolas Tepmahc	Tepmahc N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLW?

Chen Dong - Nicolas Tepmahc: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide