Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 46, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday


	Lorenzo Lorusso		Chen Dong

	1	2
	1.95	1.75
	1.81	2.02
	1.70	2.01	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.88	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.14)	1.87 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Lorusso
50.4%

Chen Dong
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Lorusso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Lorusso's performance.

Chen Dong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chen Dong might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Lorusso than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Lorusso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chen Dong than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chen Dong could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lorenzo Lorusso - Chen Dong Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dong (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Lorusso (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lorusso (votes: 1 - 50%). Dong (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Lorusso is ranked ATP: 984. Dong is ranked ATP: 1022.

Lorusso is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Dong has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Lorusso
ITF Tournaments
16.12.25	Maik Steiner - Lorenzo Lorusso	1:2 ✺
01.12.25	Lorenzo Lorusso - Duck Hee Lee	Lee D. H. retired ✺
28.11.25	Lorenzo Lorusso - Thanapet Chanta	0:2 ✺
27.11.25	Lorenzo Lorusso - Lachlan McFadzean	2:1 ✺
26.11.25	Kousuke Ogura - Lorenzo Lorusso	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 W?LWW
- Chen Dong
ITF Tournaments
16.12.25	Chen Dong - Vito DellElba	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Chen Dong	2:0 ✺
03.12.25	Chen Dong - Liam Delicata	0:2 ✺
27.11.25	Mert Naci Turker - Chen Dong	Dong C. retired ✺
26.11.25	Alaa Trifi - Chen Dong	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLL?W

Lorenzo Lorusso - Chen Dong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide