Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Luan 5, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Luan 5 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Chengyiyi Yuan		Alina Tikhonova

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Chengyiyi Yuan
34.1%

Alina Tikhonova
65.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chengyiyi Yuan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Alina Tikhonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengyiyi Yuan than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Tikhonova than the current prediction. (-4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Yuan is ranked WTA: 480. Tikhonova is ranked WTA: 885.

Yuan is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tikhonova is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tikhonova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tikhonova will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Tikhonova will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yuan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chengyiyi Yuan
ITF Tournaments
08.07.26	Xinyi Nong - Chengyiyi Yuan	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Anna Snigireva - Chengyiyi Yuan	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Chengyiyi Yuan - Jiayi Wang	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Maria Kalyakina - Chengyiyi Yuan	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Junlu Sun - Chengyiyi Yuan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWW
- Alina Tikhonova
ITF Tournaments
11.07.26	Alina Tikhonova - Cheuk Ying Shek	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Maria Kalyakina - Alina Tikhonova	1:2 ✺
10.07.26	Shihomi Li Xuan Leong - Alina Tikhonova	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Alina Tikhonova - Junhan Zhang	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Alina Tikhonova - On Yu Choi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW

ITF Tournaments
12.05.26	Chengyiyi Yuan - Alina Tikhonova	0:2

Chengyiyi Yuan - Alina Tikhonova