Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA) - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 August 2024, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Christian Garin		Chak Lam Coleman Wong

	1	2
	1.53	2.38
	1.57	2.3
	1.55	2.29	Watch
	1.66	2.25
	1.62	2.31
	1.53	2.38
	1.63	2.24	Watch
	1.55	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.4)	2.31 ↓ (2.78)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christian Garin
59.3%

Chak Lam Coleman Wong
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Christian Garin's form might have worsened.

Chak Lam Coleman Wong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chak Lam Coleman Wong's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Christian Garin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chak Lam Coleman Wong than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chak Lam Coleman Wong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Christian Garin - Chak Lam Coleman Wong Predictions

Users Predictions: Christian Garin will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Garin is ranked ATP: 116. Wong is ranked ATP: 154.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Wong could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Garin will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Washington
30.07.24	Sebastian Korda - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
29.07.24	Aslan Karatsev - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
15.07.24	Pavel Kotov - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
10.07.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLW
- Chak Lam Coleman Wong
ATP Challenger
13.08.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Gabriel Diallo	1:2 ✺
11.08.24	Jacob Fearnley - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Nishesh Basavareddy - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	1:2 ✺
09.08.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
08.08.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWWW

Christian Garin - Chak Lam Coleman Wong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide