Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2024, Monday

Referee: Boucharinc L. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6, SportKlub 7, SportKlub 8
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV3
Slovenia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4


	Pavel Kotov		Christian Garin

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.72	2.08	Watch
	1.84	2.04
	1.84	2.01	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.77	2.06	Watch
	1.74	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.9)	2.07 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
53.9%

Christian Garin
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Pavel Kotov - Christian Garin Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Garin will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Garin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Pavel Kotov - Jordan Thompson	2:3 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.24	Pavel Kotov - Jannik Sinner	0:3 ✺
29.05.24	Pavel Kotov - Stanislas Wawrinka	3:1 ✺
27.05.24	Cameron Norrie - Pavel Kotov	2:3 ✺
ATP Lyon
23.05.24	Pavel Kotov - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWL
- Christian Garin
ATP Challenger
11.07.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
10.07.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
09.07.24	Matej Dodig - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Christian Garin - Juncheng Shang	0:3 ✺
27.06.24	Christian Garin - Timofey Skatov	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW

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