Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	Christian Garin		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.81	2	Watch
	1.71	2.06
	1.78	2.17
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.77	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)	2.08 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christian Garin
54.2%

Karen Khachanov
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.1%	0%	28.9%

Christian Garin - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 114 users predict this event. Garin will win (votes: 81 - 71.1%). Khachanov will win (votes: 33 - 28.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Garin: 62.8% – 79.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Garin is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Khachanov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Khachanov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Roland Garros
01.10.20	Christian Garin - Marc Polmans	3:1 ✺
29.09.20	Christian Garin - Philipp Kohlschreiber	3:1 ✺
ATP Hamburg
26.09.20	Christian Garin - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
25.09.20	Alexander Bublik - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
23.09.20	Christian Garin - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Roland Garros
01.10.20	Jiri Vesely - Karen Khachanov	1:3 ✺
28.09.20	Kamil Majchrzak - Karen Khachanov	0:3 ✺
ATP Hamburg
24.09.20	Karen Khachanov - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
22.09.20	Karen Khachanov - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
14.09.20	Karen Khachanov - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWL

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