Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday


	Karen Khachanov		Jan-Lennard Struff

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.47	2.86
	1.43	2.83	Watch
			Watch
	1.46	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)	2.8 ↓ (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
65.9%

Jan-Lennard Struff
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Karen Khachanov - Jan Lennard Struff Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 3 - 50%). Struff (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Khachanov (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Struff (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 10. Struff is ranked ATP: 98.

Struff is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Struff may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Khachanov is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khachanov won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Karen Khachanov - the odds 1.37 are the expected chance of winning is 70.1%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
24.09.25	Alexandre Muller - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Kamil Majchrzak	2:3 ✺
25.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Nishesh Basavareddy	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Alexander Zverev	Khachanov K. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLW?
- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Almaty
15.10.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Patrick Kypson - Jan-Lennard Struff	Canceled ✺
30.09.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jan-Lennard Struff	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WL?L?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hamburg
18.07.22	Jan-Lennard Struff - Karen Khachanov	1:2
22.09.20	Karen Khachanov - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1
ATP Paris
29.10.19	Karen Khachanov - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2
ATP Halle
19.06.19	Jan-Lennard Struff - Karen Khachanov	1:2
ATP Challenger
12.03.16	Karen Khachanov - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1

Upcoming Matches