Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid 3, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Christian Sigsgaard		Pierre Yves Bailly

	1	2
	2.15	1.67
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	2.15	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.83)	1.71 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christian Sigsgaard
45.6%

Pierre Yves Bailly
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Sigsgaard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Pierre Yves Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Sigsgaard than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pierre Yves Bailly than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Christian Sigsgaard - Pierre Yves Bailly Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bailly (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sigsgaard is ranked ATP: 637. Bailly is ranked ATP: 811.

Recent performances by Sigsgaard have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bailly is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sigsgaard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Christian Sigsgaard - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Sigsgaard
ITF Tournaments
27.11.25	Christian Sigsgaard - Anas Mazdrashki	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Christian Sigsgaard - Luka Talan Lopatic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Milos Karol - Christian Sigsgaard	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.10.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Christian Sigsgaard	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Alec Deckers - Christian Sigsgaard	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLW
- Pierre Yves Bailly
ITF Tournaments
27.11.25	Leonid Sheyngezikht - Pierre Yves Bailly	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Diego Fernandez Flores - Pierre Yves Bailly	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Pierre Yves Bailly - Gabriele Bosio	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Pierre Yves Bailly - Diego Fernandez Flores	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Pierre Yves Bailly - Fumin Jiang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWW

Christian Sigsgaard - Pierre Yves Bailly: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide