Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Oegstgeest, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Christoph Negritu		Gilles Arnaud Bailly

	1	2
	1.91	1.75
	1.81	1.96
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.81	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.45)	1.86 ↓ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christoph Negritu
49.9%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Christoph Negritu's form might have worsened.

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gilles Arnaud Bailly's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Christoph Negritu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gilles Arnaud Bailly, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Christoph Negritu - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Bailly will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Negritu is ranked ATP: 306. Bailly is ranked ATP: 582.

Recent performances by Negritu have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bailly is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Negritu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Negritu might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christoph Negritu
ITF Tournaments
02.05.25	Christoph Negritu - Stijn Slump	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Christoph Negritu - Eero Vasa	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Christoph Negritu - Sydney Zick	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.04.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Christoph Negritu - Alessandro Pecci	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWWLL
- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ITF Tournaments
02.05.25	Abel Forger - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
01.05.25	Stijn Pel - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Lucas Marionneau - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Alex Molcan - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLW

Christoph Negritu - Gilles Arnaud Bailly: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide