Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Oegstgeest, clay - 1/16-finalsDate: 30 April 2025, Wednesday
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Lucas Marionneau |
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Gilles Arnaud Bailly |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.4 |
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1.26 |
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 |
3.43 |
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1.28 |
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3.73 |
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1.25 |
Watch |
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3.75 |
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1.25 |
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3.54 |
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1.26 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.57 ↑ (3.38) |
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1.26 ↓ (1.31) |
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- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lucas Marionneau 26.1% | Gilles Arnaud Bailly 73.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lucas Marionneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Marionneau than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-0.4%)Lucas Marionneau - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Marionneau (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Marionneau is ranked ATP: 974. Bailly is ranked ATP: 582. Recent matches Marionneau is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Bailly is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Marionneau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. In this match Bailly is a favorite. Our prediction for today's Bailly to win the game is with odds 1.31.
Recently, the players did not play each other.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;