Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tunis, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday


	Christoph Negritu		Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2.17	1.7
	2.1	1.7
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.11	1.68	Watch
	2.11	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 (2.11)	1.67 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christoph Negritu
44.2%

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christoph Negritu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Christoph Negritu - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Negritu is ranked ATP: 308. Dellien Velasco is ranked ATP: 214.

Negritu is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dellien Velasco has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Negritu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Christoph Negritu - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.88%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.12%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Christoph Negritu - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Christoph Negritu - Samir Hamza Reguig	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.05.25	Christoph Negritu - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
02.05.25	Christoph Negritu - Stijn Slump	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Christoph Negritu - Eero Vasa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWW
- Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Luis Guto Miguel - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	1:2 ✺
24.04.25	Conner Huertas Del Pino - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWW

Christoph Negritu - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide