Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Lima 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday


	Christopher Li		Valerio Aboian

	1	2
	2.41	1.58
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.42	1.5	Watch
	2.28	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.83)	1.53 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christopher Li
39.3%

Valerio Aboian
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christopher Li has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Christopher Li's performance.

Valerio Aboian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valerio Aboian might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christopher Li than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christopher Li that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valerio Aboian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Christopher Li - Valerio Aboian Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aboian (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Li is ranked ATP: 1097. Aboian is ranked ATP: 550.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Li may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aboian will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christopher Li
ITF Tournaments
11.12.25	Benjamin Torrealba - Christopher Li	0:2 ✺
10.12.25	Christopher Li - Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto	2:0 ✺
04.12.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Christopher Li	2:0 ✺
03.12.25	Christopher Li - Diego Ignacio Gomez Pajares	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Christopher Li - Felix Corwin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLWL
- Valerio Aboian
ITF Tournaments
04.12.25	Valerio Aboian - Thiago Cigarran	0:2 ✺
02.12.25	Valerio Aboian - Rocco Valente	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Samuel Heredia - Valerio Aboian	2:1 ✺
20.11.25	Tadeo Meneo - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Lucca Pinto - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLWW

Christopher Li - Valerio Aboian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide