Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday


	Clervie Ngounoue		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.2	1.22
	4.2	1.24	Watch
	4.57	1.23
	4.02	1.23	Watch
	4.2	1.22
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↑ (4)	1.23 ↓ (1.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clervie Ngounoue
22.7%

Elise Mertens
77.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

76.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clervie Ngounoue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Elise Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Clervie Ngounoue - Elise Mertens Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ngounoue will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Mertens will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ngounoue: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5 Games - Ngounoue (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Ngounoue (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Clervie Ngounoue will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Ngounoue (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Mertens (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ngounoue is ranked WTA: 211. Mertens is ranked WTA: 22.

Ngounoue is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mertens's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mertens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mertens is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clervie Ngounoue
WTA Cincinnati
07.08.25	Clervie Ngounoue - Hailey Baptiste	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	Yue Yuan - Clervie Ngounoue	1:2 ✺
06.08.25	Clervie Ngounoue - Olivia Gadecki	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.07.25	Clervie Ngounoue - Lea Ma	Ma L. walkover ✺
30.07.25	Clervie Ngounoue - Zoe Hammond	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWW?W
- Elise Mertens
WTA Montreal
30.07.25	Elise Mertens - Anna Kalinskaya	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
06.07.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
04.07.25	Elise Mertens - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Elise Mertens - Ann Li	2:1 ✺
30.06.25	Elise Mertens - Linda Fruhvirtova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWW

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