Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday


	Colin Sinclair		Li Tu

	1	2
			Watch
	3.5	1.28
	3.6	1.25	Watch
	3.2	1.32
	3.86	1.27
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.3	1.3	Watch
	3.2	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.64)	1.3 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colin Sinclair
27.5%

Li Tu
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colin Sinclair has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colin Sinclair's form might have worsened.

Li Tu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Li Tu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colin Sinclair than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colin Sinclair, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Li Tu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Sinclair is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tu is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sinclair could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tu will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sinclair won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colin Sinclair
ATP Zhuhai
18.09.23	Colin Sinclair - Antoine Bellier	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.09.23	Colin Sinclair - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
12.09.23	Luca Castelnuovo - Colin Sinclair	0:2 ✺
03.09.23	Colin Sinclair - Matthew Christopher Romios	0:2 ✺
31.08.23	Richard Berankis - Colin Sinclair	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLL
- Li Tu
ATP Chengdu
19.09.23	Li Tu - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
18.09.23	Li Tu - Wenfu Li	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.23	Li Tu - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
13.09.23	Li Tu - Aoran Wang	2:1 ✺
11.09.23	Li Tu - Nick Chappell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.05.22	Li Tu - Colin Sinclair	2:1

Colin Sinclair - Li Tu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide