Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Maanshan 3, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday


	Luca Castelnuovo		Colin Sinclair

	1	2
	1.45	2.5
	1.47	2.6
			Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.55	2.32	Watch
	1.51	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.51)	2.51 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luca Castelnuovo
62.8%

Colin Sinclair
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castelnuovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Colin Sinclair has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colin Sinclair than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Luca Castelnuovo - Colin Sinclair Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 668. Sinclair is ranked ATP: 675.

Castelnuovo is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sinclair's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Castelnuovo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Castelnuovo could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Castelnuovo will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Castelnuovo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castelnuovo
ITF Tournaments
26.06.25	Xiaofei Wang - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
25.06.25	Qian Sun - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Shintaro Imai	2:0 ✺
22.06.25	Jie Cui - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
21.06.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWW
- Colin Sinclair
ITF Tournaments
26.06.25	Kokoro Isomura - Colin Sinclair	1:2 ✺
26.06.25	Colin Sinclair - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	Yuquan Jin - Colin Sinclair	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Colin Sinclair - Tsung-Hao Huang	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Colin Sinclair - Hikaru Shiraishi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.09.23	Luca Castelnuovo - Colin Sinclair	0:2
ITF Tournaments
09.12.20	Luca Castelnuovo - Colin Sinclair	Castelnuovo L. retired

Luca Castelnuovo - Colin Sinclair: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide