Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca (Spain) - Qualification, grass - Final

Date: 23 June 2024, Sunday

Referee: Concas R. (Ita)


	Constant Lestienne		Gijs Brouwer

	1	2
			Watch
	3.1	1.34
	2.8	1.38	Watch
	3.23	1.36
	3.23	1.36
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.82	1.43	Watch
	2.85	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.1)	1.38 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constant Lestienne
31.7%

Gijs Brouwer
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constant Lestienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Constant Lestienne's form might have worsened.

Gijs Brouwer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gijs Brouwer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Constant Lestienne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gijs Brouwer than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gijs Brouwer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Constant Lestienne - Gijs Brouwer Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Lestienne will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Brouwer will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brouwer: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Lestienne is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brouwer is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brouwer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Brouwer will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Brouwer to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constant Lestienne
ATP Mallorca
22.06.24	Constant Lestienne - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
ATP Halle
16.06.24	Oscar Otte - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Louis Wessels - Constant Lestienne	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Constant Lestienne	3:1 ✺
ATP Lyon
18.05.24	Constant Lestienne - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL
- Gijs Brouwer
ATP Mallorca
22.06.24	Sebastian Fanselow - Gijs Brouwer	0:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
15.06.24	Ugo Humbert - Gijs Brouwer	2:1 ✺
12.06.24	Gijs Brouwer - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
11.06.24	Jakub Mensik - Gijs Brouwer	1:2 ✺
09.06.24	Christian Garin - Gijs Brouwer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWWW

Constant Lestienne - Gijs Brouwer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide