Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cassis (France), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 September 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Chahed Cassimon E. (Fra)


	Constant Lestienne		Jurij Rodionov

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.7	2.19
	1.62	2.22	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.64	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)	2.17 ↑ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constant Lestienne
57%

Jurij Rodionov
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constant Lestienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Jurij Rodionov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Constant Lestienne - Jurij Rodionov Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Lestienne will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Rodionov will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lestienne: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lestienne is ranked ATP: 111. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 202.

Lestienne is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rodionov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rodionov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constant Lestienne
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Constant Lestienne - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Constant Lestienne - Jordan Thompson	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.24	Alexandre Muller - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
19.08.24	Thiago Monteiro - Constant Lestienne	Canceled
ATP Atlanta
23.07.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Constant Lestienne	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLL??
- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Jurij Rodionov - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
28.08.24	Matteo Gigante - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.24	Kyrian Jacquet - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
21.08.24	Jurij Rodionov - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
19.08.24	Filip Krajinovic - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLWW

Constant Lestienne - Jurij Rodionov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide