Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana (Dominican Republic), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday


	Alexandre Muller		Constant Lestienne

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.41	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.87
	1.44	2.7	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.42	2.73	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.54)	2.72 ↑ (2.33)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
65.7%

Constant Lestienne
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexandre Muller's performance.

Constant Lestienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Constant Lestienne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Alexandre Muller - Constant Lestienne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Muller is ranked ATP: 44. Lestienne is ranked ATP: 176.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Lestienne could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Muller won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Alexandre Muller - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
26.02.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
23.02.25	Alexandre Muller - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Francisco Comesana - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLW
- Constant Lestienne
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Fabio Fognini - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Constant Lestienne - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.25	Adam Walton - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.02.25	Arthur Cazaux - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Constant Lestienne - Stefan Dostanic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.24	Alexandre Muller - Constant Lestienne	2:0
ATP Auckland
06.01.24	Alexandre Muller - Constant Lestienne	2:1
Exhibition Challenge Elite FFT 3 Men
22.07.20	Constant Lestienne - Alexandre Muller	2:0

Alexandre Muller - Constant Lestienne: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide