Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: KIGALI (RWANDA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 29 February 2024, Thursday


	Corentin Denolly		Max Houkes

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	1.95	1.78
	2.04	1.84
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.94	1.78	Watch
	1.94	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.68)	1.79 ↓ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Denolly
47.9%

Max Houkes
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corentin Denolly's form might have worsened.

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Max Houkes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corentin Denolly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Max Houkes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Corentin Denolly - Max Houkes Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Denolly will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Houkes will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Houkes: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Denolly is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Houkes is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Houkes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Houkes to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Denolly won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Denolly
ATP Challenger
28.02.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Corentin Denolly	1:2 ✺
27.02.24	Corentin Denolly - Hernan Casanova	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.02.24	Corentin Denolly - Carlos Sanchez Jover	0:2 ✺
09.02.24	Corentin Denolly - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
08.02.24	Sergi Perez Contri - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLW
- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
28.02.24	Preston Brown - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
27.02.24	Alafia Ayeni - Max Houkes	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.02.24	Cezar Cretu - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
22.02.24	Giuseppe La Vela - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
21.02.24	Anthony Genov - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWW

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