Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Skopje, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 May 2025, Tuesday


	Corentin Denolly		Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	4.33	1.18	Watch
	4	1.2	Watch
	5	1.18
	4.33	1.2	Watch
	4	1.22	Watch
	4.26	1.2	Watch
	4	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↑ (2.64)	1.2 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Denolly
22.1%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
77.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corentin Denolly's form might have worsened.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolai Budkov Kjaer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corentin Denolly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Corentin Denolly - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Denolly will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Budkov Kjaer will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Denolly is ranked ATP: 284. Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 307.

Denolly is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Budkov Kjaer's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Denolly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Budkov Kjaer is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Denolly
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Corentin Denolly - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
06.05.25	Corentin Denolly - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Oliver Crawford - Corentin Denolly	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Corentin Denolly - Tristan McCormick	Canceled ✺
14.04.25	Corentin Denolly - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLL?L
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Challenger
09.05.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Martin Landaluce	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
05.05.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Carlos Taberner - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLL

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