Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday


	Corentin Moutet		Quentin Halys

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.63	2.36
	1.56	2.29	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.61	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.76)	2.25 ↑ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Moutet
58.4%

Quentin Halys
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Corentin Moutet's performance.

Quentin Halys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Quentin Halys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quentin Halys than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Corentin Moutet - Quentin Halys Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Quentin Halys will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Quentin Halys will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moutet is ranked ATP: 33. Halys is ranked ATP: 102.

Moutet is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Halys has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Moutet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moutet won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Corentin Moutet - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 52.81%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Moutet
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
24.02.26	Alexander Zverev - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
17.02.26	Corentin Moutet - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
22.01.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Corentin Moutet	3:0 ✺
21.01.26	Michael Zheng - Corentin Moutet	Zheng M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLLL?
- Quentin Halys
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Stefano Travaglia - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Quentin Halys - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
23.02.26	Quentin Halys - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Quentin Halys - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Quentin Halys - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
19.10.24	Quentin Halys - Corentin Moutet	2:1
Exhibition Challenge Elite FFT 2 Men
16.07.20	Quentin Halys - Corentin Moutet	2:1
ATP Challenger
25.01.19	Corentin Moutet - Quentin Halys	2:0
16.09.18	Quentin Halys - Corentin Moutet	0:2
05.09.18	Quentin Halys - Corentin Moutet	2:0

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