Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	02:00	ESPN
Belgium	06:00	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	06:00	HBO Max
Brazil	02:00	ESPN
Bulgaria	07:00	HBO Max
Canada	00:00	RDS App
Colombia	00:00	ESPN
Croatia	06:00	HBO Max
Czech Republic	06:00	HBO Max
Denmark	06:00	HBO Max
Finland	07:00	HBO Max
France	06:00	HBO Max
Hungary	06:00	HBO Max
Mexico	23:00	ESPN
Moldova	07:00	HBO Max
Montenegro	06:00	HBO Max
Netherlands	06:00	HBO Max
New Zealand	18:00	Sky Sport NOW
North Macedonia	06:00	HBO Max
Norway	06:00	HBO Max
Peru	00:00	ESPN
Poland	06:00	HBO Max
Romania	07:00	HBO Max
Serbia	06:00	HBO Max
Slovenia	06:00	HBO Max
Spain	06:00	HBO Max
Sweden	06:00	HBO Max
United Kingdom	05:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Usa	00:00	ESPN App, ESPN USA
Venezuela	01:00	ESPN


	Michael Zheng		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.22	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.32	1.63	Watch
	2.3	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.04)	1.65 ↓ (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Zheng
42.1%

Corentin Moutet
57.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Zheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Michael Zheng - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Zheng will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Moutet will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zheng: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Zheng (votes: 9 - 60%). Moutet (votes: 6 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Moutet (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Zheng (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Moutet (votes: 7 - 43.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Zheng is ranked ATP: 174. Moutet is ranked ATP: 37.

Zheng is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zheng may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Zheng
ATP Australian Open
17.01.26	Michael Zheng - Sebastian Korda	3:2 ✺
14.01.26	Michael Zheng - Lukas Klein	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Michael Zheng	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Cruz Hewitt - Michael Zheng	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.01.26	Michael Zheng - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWL
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Australian Open
17.01.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Corentin Moutet	0:3 ✺
ATP Metz
04.11.25	Corentin Moutet - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
ATP Vienna
24.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL

Michael Zheng - Corentin Moutet

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Michael Zheng - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Preview

Form

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