Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Michael Zheng		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.22	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.32	1.63	Watch
	2.3	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.04)	1.65 ↓ (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Zheng
42.1%

Corentin Moutet
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Zheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Michael Zheng - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Zheng will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Moutet will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zheng: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Zheng (votes: 9 - 60%). Moutet (votes: 6 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Moutet (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Zheng (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Moutet (votes: 7 - 43.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Zheng is ranked ATP: 174. Moutet is ranked ATP: 37.

Zheng is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zheng may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Zheng
ATP Australian Open
17.01.26	Michael Zheng - Sebastian Korda	3:2 ✺
14.01.26	Michael Zheng - Lukas Klein	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Michael Zheng	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Cruz Hewitt - Michael Zheng	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.01.26	Michael Zheng - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWL
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Australian Open
17.01.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Corentin Moutet	0:3 ✺
ATP Metz
04.11.25	Corentin Moutet - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
ATP Vienna
24.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL

Michael Zheng - Corentin Moutet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide