The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marton Fucsovics 47.6%
Corentin Moutet 52.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.7%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marton Fucsovics has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marton Fucsovics's form might have worsened.
Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Corentin Moutet's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marton Fucsovics than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marton Fucsovics, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corentin Moutet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Marton Fucsovics - Corentin Moutet Predictions
Users Predictions:
Marton Fucsovics will win
(15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Fucsovics is ranked ATP: 84.Moutet is ranked ATP: 57.
Fucsovics is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Moutet is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Moutet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fucsovics won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Marton Fucsovics - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.67%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.
Corentin Moutet - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 41.33%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.