Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Final

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rome 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	01:05	beIN Sports 2
Czech Republic	17:05	CANAL+ Sport 2
Denmark	17:05	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	18:05	DAZN
France	17:05	beIN Sports 3
Germany	17:05	Sky Sport Tennis
Poland	17:05	CANAL+ Sport 2
Slovakia	17:05	Voyo
Sweden	17:05	DAZN
Ukraine	18:05	Setanta Sports Premium
United Kingdom	16:05	Sky Sports Tennis


	Cori Gauff		Elina Svitolina

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.63	2.3	Watch
	1.68	2.34
	1.7	2.18	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.64	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.7)	2.27 ↑ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cori Gauff
57.8%

Elina Svitolina
42.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cori Gauff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Elina Svitolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cori Gauff than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Cori Gauff - Elina Svitolina Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Gauff will win (votes: 21 - 58.3%). Svitolina will win (votes: 15 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gauff: 42.2% – 74.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Gauff (votes: 2 - 50%). Svitolina (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Svitolina (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Gauff (votes: 2 - 40%). Svitolina (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gauff is ranked WTA: 4. Svitolina is ranked WTA: 10.

In recent matches, both players have secured multiple victories.

Svitolina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gauff could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Gauff will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gauff won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cori Gauff
WTA Roma
14.05.26	Sorana Cirstea - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Cori Gauff - Mirra Andreeva	2:1 ✺
11.05.26	Cori Gauff - Iva Jovic	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Cori Gauff - Solana Sierra	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Cori Gauff - Tereza Valentova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW
- Elina Svitolina
WTA Roma
14.05.26	Iga Swiatek - Elina Svitolina	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Elina Svitolina - Elena Rybakina	2:1 ✺
11.05.26	Elina Svitolina - Nikola Bartunkova	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Elina Svitolina - Hailey Baptiste	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Elina Svitolina - Noemi Basiletti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Dubai
20.02.26	Elina Svitolina - Cori Gauff	2:1
WTA Australian Open
27.01.26	Cori Gauff - Elina Svitolina	0:2
WTA US Open
30.08.24	Elina Svitolina - Cori Gauff	1:2
WTA Auckland
06.01.24	Cori Gauff - Elina Svitolina	2:1
WTA Australian Open
11.02.21	Cori Gauff - Elina Svitolina	0:2

Cori Gauff - Elina Svitolina